Storm Forecast Valid: Fri 28 Aug 2026 06:00 to Sat 29 Aug 2026 06:00 UTC
27-08-2026 | Estofex | m.b.t. 28-08-2026 t/m 29-08-2026
A level 2 was issued from NE France through parts of BENELUX to N Germany mainly for large hail, severe wind gusts and heavy rainfall.
A level 1 surrounds the level 2s for more isolated severe weather.
Storm Forecast
Valid: Fri 28 Aug 2026 06:00 to Sat 29 Aug 2026 06:00 UTC
Issued: Thu 27 Aug 2026 22:31
Forecaster: PUCIK
A level 2 was issued from NE France through parts of BENELUX to N Germany mainly for large hail, severe wind gusts and heavy rainfall.
A level 1 surrounds the level 2s for more isolated severe weather.
DISCUSSION
... N France to BENELUX and N Germany ...
Another corridor of severe weather will be associated with another short-wave trough that will rapidly cross on the forward flank of the deep long-wave trough. Ahead of the surface cold front, MLCAPE in the range of 700 to 1500 J/kg is forecast. With rather poor mid-tropospheric lapse rates, CAPE profiles will not have very high values of buoyancy in the upper troposphere. As the trough approaches, deep-layer shear will increase, surpassing 25 m/s in the 0-6 km layer. Straight hodographs will result in more marginal SRH values, but overall, the kinematic environment will be supportive of splitting supercells and well-organised linear segments. Compared to areas in the south, high-res models do not show as intense supercells, but coverage of severe weather should still be enough to warrant a Level 2. Expect a combination of large hail, severe wind gust risk, and locally heavy rainfall.
(alleen de voor NL en aangrenzende gebieden relevante tekstdelen overgenomen, klik hier voor de volledige forecast, red.)
Hagel(-schade) | Onweer/blikseminslag | Verwachtingen/waarschuwingen | Wateroverlast/(zware) neerslag | Wind/storm (-schade)