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Mesoscale Discussion valid: Thu 23 Jun 2016 14:00 to Thu 23 Jun 2016 18:

23-06-2016 | ESSL/Estofex | m.b.t. 23-06-2016

"... given the strong instability and presence of more than decent shear, there is a moderate to high risk of large hail (3-5 cm) and damaging wind gusts with any storm that develops. If adequate low-level shear is present, a given storm could easily become a supercell and result in a risk of a (strong) tornado. Excessive convective precipitation is also possible, given the unusually high PW values of the airmass."

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